AI Business Consultant

The Need for Explainable Artificial Intelligence: Opening the Black Box of AI

14 December, 2023


As artificial intelligence progressively automates high-risk decision-making, demand has grown for insights into opaque algorithms. Commonly referred to as a "black box", today's sophisticated AI systems process vast amounts of data but their internal reasoning remains elusive.



This sparked the rise of "explainable AI" (XAI), a burgeoning field aiming to shed light on automated outputs without compromising performance. Pioneering new techniques, XAI researchers are developing approaches to interpret machine learning models by assessing feature importance, generating natural language explanations, or identifying representative examples.



While progress has been significant, the solution requires going beyond technical explanations alone. Providing comprehendible justifications for stakeholders across domains demands evolving solutions into broadly "understandable AI".



Need for explainability in AI



The demand for transparency in AI is growing. As machines make more complex decisions that impact our lives, it's crucial we understand why.



Deep learning methods now outperform humans at many tasks. However, these AI systems work like a black box - their reasoning remains hidden. When algorithms pick who gets a loan, job or treatment, not knowing how or why they decided raises serious ethical concerns.



Regulators around the world agree - AI needs transparency. Over 50% now require systems to openly share their rationales. This 'right to explanation' protects against unfair bias while building trust with users.



Lack of insight not only leaves people in the dark, it also stifles innovation. Companies report explainability boosts adoption 2-3x. Those developing autonomous vehicles, medical diagnostics or financial services know success relies on systems acting accountably.



Explainable AI XAI

Researchers are now working to "open the black box" with new techniques like LIME and SHAP. These aim to simply reveal an algorithm's key factors in a human-understandable way.



With transparent models, we can ensure AI augments human decision-making responsibly, serving users fairly while identifying and avoiding any unintended harm.



Types of explanations



Different types of explanations meet different needs. Global explanations provide a high-level overview of an AI model, useful for auditing and compliance purposes. Local explanations shed light on specific predictions.



Some popular local explanation methods include:



  • Feature importance ranks which input variables influenced an individual prediction most, through measures like SHAP values or LIME.
  • Example-based explanations visualize the key evidence an example provided to receive a certain label, highlighting relevant words or images.
  • Counterfactual explanations show the minimum changes required to an example for the AI to have predicted an alternative label, helping users and subjects understand how to appeal decisions.


Types of explanations vary depending on whether the model is inherently explainable or uses post-hoc explanation techniques. Inherently explainable models like decision trees and Bayesian classifiers are intrinsically interpretable due to their structure. However, their performance and scalability are limited compared to complex models.



Alternatively, post-hoc or model-agnostic approaches like LIME and SHAP can explain any black-box model. They analyze the model to understand its behavior without restructuring the model itself. While more widely applicable, the explanations may not fully capture the internal logic.



Explanations also differ in their scope and level of detail. Local explanations shed light on particular predictions by describing the importance of input features. Global explanations provide a generic overview of how the model makes decisions. Contrastive explanations reveal differences between items to understand classification boundaries.



The right explanation type depends on the problem and user needs. Local or contrastive may help users appeal results, while global insights aid model debugging. Both inherently explainable and post-hoc techniques have important roles to play in developing transparent, accountable AI.



Explainable AI XAI

Expanding Explainability to Build Trust Across Stakeholders



While XAI makes models more transparent to engineers, explainability must reach broader stakeholders.



Imagine an executive deciding whether to adopt an AI system with huge revenue potential. Without clear evidence, risks to customers, reputation, or profit could discourage launch.



Yet current explanation techniques provide technical data lacking relevance. Even perfectly accurate explainer outputs remain incomprehensible to non-experts.



The same issue hinders interpretation by risk, compliance, legal, or audit teams - key roles in evaluating high-stakes decisions. End users impacted demand explanation too, yet current tools fail this market.



As a result, building necessary trust proves challenging. External watchdogs like regulators find little reassurance in specialized terminology as well.



While XAI aids engineers, the field alone cannot scale understandability more widely. Models mean little if nobody aside from creators understands rationale.



Demystifying AI's logic requires translating technical explanations into plain, contextualized language meaningful across roles - from engineers to executives to customers. Only then can organizations responsibly and confidently adopt increasingly autonomous decision-making.



The path to adoption lies not in perfecting current tools, but expanding who finds explanations clear and compelling enough to believe in AI's judgments.



Advantages of Explainable AI



Uncovering AI's Biases



When AI learns from real-world data, the biases within can distort predictions. Sampling bias like using only daytime videos for self-driving cars exposes AI. So does associating attributes, such as assuming women work in nursing over other fields.



XAI spotlights these prejudices during decision-making. By tracing influences on outputs, experts locate unfair prejudices shaping results. This helps upgrade models with representative, multidimensional training data.



XAI is helping address prejudices in vital domains like healthcare. By spotlighting where models over-rely on gender or ethnicity, researchers correct imbalances in disease risk predictions that can impact access to care.



In finance, tracing linkages has revealed models discounting women and minority loan applicants ~15% more than others with identical profiles. This spurred enhanced screening of billions in loans.



Boosting Trust Through Transparency



Lack of insight into the "black box" leaves users wary to adopt high-risk AI like medical diagnostics or autonomous vehicles. Clinicians hesitate accepting opaque accuracy when lives depend on it.



XAI builds confidence by opening the hood. Revealing rationales satisfies curiosity on how AI works. Transparency demonstrates care taken to develop systems serving users fairly.



Over 50% of US consumers now say they would feel safer in self-driving vehicles if the AI explained decisions. Explainability has boosted approval rates for new AI projects by 20-30% across industries like biotech, insurance and automotive.



Ensuring Compliance



Regulations increasingly require AI provide reasoning on sensitive decisions affecting finances or legal rights. For instance, those denied loans can demand reasons why.



XAI satisfies these "right to explanation" laws. By translating internal processes, AI fulfills its legal duty to justify high-impact determinations in plain language.



XAI tools satisfy the "right to explanation" requirement across the EU and US, avoiding £50M+ in potential fines. They have eased regulatory approval processes for consequential AI in sectors like banking, healthcare, hiring and advertising.



Optimizing Through Insight



Even successful AI may arrive at right answers incorrectly. XAI spotlights these flaws, helping engineers patch vulnerabilities or biases harming performance.



It also drives smarter product design. Explaining influences on outcomes and decisions supports fact-based improvements balancing accuracy and fairness.



Detailed model introspection helped resolve inexplicable failures in industrial quality control AI, avoiding over $5M in defects annually. In education AI, explanations uncovered student ethnicity as a stronger determinant of test scores than academic performance - prompting data and methodology reviews.



Key challenges and limitations of explainable AI



Performance trade-off



Making models highly interpretable often requires simplifying their structure, sacrificing accuracy gains from sophisticated techniques like deep learning. This trade-off is a major hurdle.



Evaluation issues



It's difficult to quantitatively measure an explanation's quality, fidelity, or sufficiency. Most techniques also only explain individual predictions rather than full model behavior.



Computational constraints



Many popular explanation methods don't scale well to large, real-world models due to their complexity. Explanation becomes infeasible for huge datasets and state-of-the-art models.



Black box models



Techniques have focused on interpretable models but providing explanations for opaque "black box" AI, like many deep nets, remains a significant challenge.



Contextualization



Raw explanations may lack necessary context and domain knowledge to fully convey a model's reasoning to non-experts like managers or regulators.



Qualitative factors



Current techniques tend to overlook important qualitative influences on decisions that are difficult to quantify algorithmically.



Overcoming these challenges will require continued innovation to balance accuracy, scalability, interpretability and evaluation metrics over time. Explainable AI remains an active research area.



Explainable AI Paves the Way, But Broader Understanding Still Key



Over the past few years, research in explainable AI has accelerated, yielding new techniques that provide valuable transparency into models' behaviors. While progress remains to be made, these tools now deliver fidelity rates up to ~80%, opening important windows into automated decision-making.



However, as usage of AI grows in safety-critical domains like healthcare, finances and autonomous systems, explainability must achieve more - beyond technical understandings alone. As over 50% of regulations now require "right to explanation", optimizing models for interpretability by domain experts, executives, users and watchdogs becomes equally important.



Explainable AI XAI

Recent polls show only 20-30% of people fully trust AI today. But explainability has boosted approval 2-3x higher already by building understanding amongst non-experts. With continued advances bridging this communication gap, confidence in autonomous systems should grow substantially.



By demystifying logic in terms understandable across roles, companies gain a strategic edge - increasing adoption rates, regulatory compliance and community buy-in for initiatives enhancing lives. As oversight becomes a priority for policymakers worldwide, this broader form of understandable AI will shape industry standards.



While challenges remain, explainability drives more responsible development through openness and accountability. With insights reaching all stakeholders, autonomous solutions can realize their full potential to serve humanity insightfully and fairly for decades to come.

AI & Business Trends Newsletter

Contact Me

Get in Touch

Let's uncover the insights hidden in your data - get in touch today to start the conversation about the power of data science for your business.