How I Read Market Intent — Three Setups I Trade When It Matters
Seen Through Recent Gold and Silver Price Action.
Quantitative investing is often portrayed as layers of complex models, machine learning, and terabytes of data—but in practice, I’ve found a lot of the time, simpler is smarter. After years of grinding through markets, backtests, and drawdowns, I’ve narrowed my edge to three high-probability setups. These account for roughly 80% of my profits, in line with the Pareto principle.
Right now, gold (XAU/USD) and silver (XAG/USD) provide textbook examples. Gold has surged past $5,100 (hitting all-time highs near $5,111 recently), while silver has exploded above $110–$113 in parabolic fashion—fueled by safe-haven demand, trade tensions, central-bank buying, and chronic supply deficits. Here’s how I spot and trade each setup, with fresh 2026 examples.
