Quantitative investing is often portrayed as layers of complex models, machine learning, and terabytes of data—but in practice, I’ve found a lot of the time, simpler is smarter. After years of grinding through markets, backtests, and drawdowns, I’ve narrowed my edge to three high-probability setups. These account for roughly 80% of my profits, in line with the Pareto principle.
Right now, gold (XAU/USD) and silver (XAG/USD) provide textbook examples. Gold has surged past $5,100 (hitting all-time highs near $5,111 recently), while silver has exploded above $110–$113 in parabolic fashion—fueled by safe-haven demand, trade tensions, central-bank buying, and chronic supply deficits. Here’s how I spot and trade each setup, with fresh 2026 examples.
