Alina Khay

About the Research

I write about the forces that move markets and the mechanisms beneath them.

My research spans macro and cross-asset markets, quantitative trading, market microstructure and AI in finance. Here you’ll find market outlooks, research studies and learning resources, with each historical outlook tied to its original publication date.

For a consolidated record of papers, DOIs, code, abstracts and publication status, see the research and publications page.

I also publish Aiovel, a market briefing and research toolkit with dated market observations, prediction-market snapshots and historical-volatility estimates. Use the publication for the research context and Aiovel for the tools.

Core Positioning

My work covers the full causal chain: from the macro environment and geopolitical shocks that set the stage, to the structural and behavioral forces that turn those conditions into price action, liquidity shifts, and volatility regimes. I follow how things connect — how a policy shift becomes a flow, flow becomes a positioning extreme, and how a positioning extreme becomes a trade.

My focus is on understanding the underlying reasons behind market pricing.

Research Philosophy

Every piece is built on data and a clear account of what’s driving prices. Whether you allocate capital, manage risk or study systematic strategies, the aim is the same: clearer evidence, explicit assumptions and less noise.

Paid subscribers receive member-only research, the full archive and the continuously updated Market Outlook. Free subscribers receive selected public posts, previews and Notes.

Connect and Collaborate

This space attracts professionals who care about rigor, clarity, and real results. If you're coming from LinkedIn or elsewhere and want to engage with research-driven ideas, stress-test strategies, or exchange perspectives — you're in the right place.

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