Alina Khay
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The Power of Exponential Thinking
Why linear models fail in nonlinear markets—and what to do instead.
Jul 8
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The Power of Exponential Thinking
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June 2025
Mastering the Tri-Timeframe Trend-Following System
A Quantitative Approach to Trade With the Flow, Not Against It
Jun 28
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Mastering the Tri-Timeframe Trend-Following System
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Reading Between the Lines: Using LLMs to Forecast Market Moves After FED Central Bank Signals
Central bank speeches move markets. Always have. But now, you’ve got a new edge—Large Language Models (LLMs) can decode the Fed faster and more…
Jun 18
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Reading Between the Lines: Using LLMs to Forecast Market Moves After FED Central Bank Signals
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Top Liquidity Indicators That Predict Bitcoin’s Price and Volatility Moves
Bitcoin doesn’t trade on fairy dust. It trades on liquidity.
Jun 13
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Top Liquidity Indicators That Predict Bitcoin’s Price and Volatility Moves
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Detecting Market Regimes with Hidden Markov Models for Intraday Trading
Markets switch between unobservable "regimes" that leave behind statistical patterns you can exploit.
Jun 8
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Detecting Market Regimes with Hidden Markov Models for Intraday Trading
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What Drives Bitcoin Volatility?
Structural, Behavioral, and Macro-Level Determinants of Price Instability
Jun 8
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What Drives Bitcoin Volatility?
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May 2025
Fibonacci Numbers in Math and Trading
Some things look too precise to be random. Spirals in nature. Price pivots on a chart. Fibonacci numbers show up in both. They aren’t magic but…
May 28
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Fibonacci Numbers in Math and Trading
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Multi-Day Volatility Forecasts for Superior Day-Ahead Trading Predictions
What if longer-horizon volatility forecasts contain information that could enhance short-term trading decisions?
May 5
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Multi-Day Volatility Forecasts for Superior Day-Ahead Trading Predictions
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The Math of Venture: From 50 Bets to 1 Billion
In 2011, Sequoia Capital invested $8 million at a $60 million valuation in WhatsApp. Four years later, Facebook acquired the company for $19 billion.
May 2
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The Math of Venture: From 50 Bets to 1 Billion
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April 2025
Bitcoin vs Gold: Can Digital Scarcity Replace Physical Wealth?
You often hear Bitcoin called "digital gold." But can Bitcoin truly replace gold as a store of value and a hedge against inflation?
Apr 27
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Bitcoin vs Gold: Can Digital Scarcity Replace Physical Wealth?
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Adapting to Volatility: A Regime-Switching Momentum-Reversal Strategy for Alpha
Can a strategy that adapts to market regimes outperform traditional momentum or reversal models?
Apr 21
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Adapting to Volatility: A Regime-Switching Momentum-Reversal Strategy for Alpha
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Tokenized Markets: The Engineered Economics of Risk and Incentive Design
Tokenization is restructuring how financial assets behave, flow, and hold value.
Apr 12
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Tokenized Markets: The Engineered Economics of Risk and Incentive Design
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